Time: 116 PM Sat July 27, 2019 Forecaster: Nick Barlow

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District, valid until 10:00pm this evening.
-Showers and thunderstorms developed during the late-morning hours over the mountains and foothills, ahead of an upper-level disturbance arriving from the W. Storm activity will steadily propagate E over the coming hours, with a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms possible over the District this afternoon and evening.
-Faster steering flow should limit the threat for widespread heavy precipitation, but stronger thunderstorms will likely produce moderate to locally-heavy rainfall. Showers and storms will decrease after sunset, but a few could linger into the early-overnight period as the trough axis slowly clears the area.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Strong thunderstorms will produce rainfall between 0.30-0.90" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: Multiple waves of strong storms impacts same area, resulting in rainfall up to 2.30" in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
DIA 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 130 PM TO 1000 PM 200 PM TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 130 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe 130 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder 130 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (40%) to 0.9" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield 130 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (40%) to 0.9" (15%) ISSUED
Denver 130 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas 130 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson 130 PM TO 1000 PM
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (40%) to 0.9" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM SAT
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM SAT
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM SAT
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.