Time: 718 PM Sun July 3, 2022 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES CONTINUE VALIDUNTIL 9:30 PM
-Message 1's will continue valid until 9:30 PM. The gust front/outflow boundary from storms over Larimer and Weld Counties has moved southward through the District but did not initiate strong thunderstorms within District boundaries. The strongest storms remained just N of the District over Boulder County.
-As the outflow boundary from northern CO storms moved southward through the District it helped to keep shower activity active but did not generate strong storms. Now that this boundary has passed through Douglas County the threat for heavy rainfall is quickly diminishing as temperatures are cooling and the triggering mechanism for stronger storms is now well south of the area.
-Additional light rain showers and weak thunderstorms will continue possible over the next 1-2 hours. The threat for moderate to strong thunderstorms with the potential to produce heavy rainfall is lowering rapidly now that temperatures are backing off but an isolated moderate to strong thunderstorm cannot be ruled out.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers will produce a trace to 0.1" of rain. Weak to moderate thunderstorms will produce 0.1-0.3" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: An anchored strong thunderstorm or a slower moving large thunderstorm may result in up to 1.5" of rain in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 930 PM Current TO 830 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Arapahoe Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (70%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Boulder Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (60%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Broomfield Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (60%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Denver Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (60%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (60%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 930 PM SUN
Trace (75%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/