Time: 702 PM Thu July 1, 2021 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 2'S CONTINUE VALID
-All Message 1 LIF's and Message 3's issued earlier have been allowed to expire and the Message 2's (NWS Flash Flood Watch) remain in effect until midnight at this time. Message 2's may be rescinded earlier than midnight as conditions are calming down over the District currently.
-Strong thunderstorms with heavy rainfall impacted portions of the District earlier today with scattered light to briefly moderate rain showers currently ongoing over the District. Now that temperatures have cooled into the 60's over the plains and the atmosphere has already been churned the threat for thunderstorms with heavy rainfall is rapidly decreasing as we move forward in time.
-Rain showers remain likely through about 9pm then generally dry conditions are expected to develop for the evening and overnight period. A quick 1-2" of rain was observed under the stronger thunderstorms with isolated higher amounts of over 2" in isolated areas.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers will produce a trace to 0.1" in 10-30 minutes. Weak thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.1-0.4" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: Moderate to strong thunderstorms are able to re-develop with the potential to produce heavy rainfall rates of 0.6-1.8" in 10-30 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Arapahoe County 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
DIA 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Denver County 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Adams County 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Douglas County 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Boulder County 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Arvada 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM
Lakewood 2 1100 AM TO 1159 PM 1100 AM TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM THU
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (40%) to 0.4" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/