-	The upper level pattern remains largely unchanged with a trough of low pressure southwest of Colorado, but the better low level moisture and instability has shifted east of the District compared to the past couple of days. Highs today will reach the low 80s on the plains.
-	Even though the primary threat for severe thunderstorms will be east of the District today, there will still be enough moisture combined with daytime heating for thunderstorms to develop over the foothills around midday, before tracking across the lower elevations of the District early to mid afternoon. Storm motions today will be to the E/NE at 15-20mph.
-	Dewpoints are projected to be in the mid 40s this afternoon, which will result in a threat for brief heavy rainfall if stronger thunderstorms manage to develop. In addition, a wind convergence boundary may set up over southern and eastern portions of the District, which could act as a focal point for thunderstorm activity. Similar to previous days, widespread thunderstorm activity should move east of the District by late afternoon, with lingering isolated thunderstorms over the District tapering off by early evening.

STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak to moderate thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts of 0.05-0.3" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall of 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm or cluster of thunderstorms stalls along a wind convergence boundary, producing heavy rainfall of up to 1.8" in 60-90 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Tuesday will be warm with isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but low level moisture will decrease with generally light to moderate rainfall expected with thunderstorms. A cold front will move into Eastern Colorado on Tuesday night and a trough of low pressure will track across Southern Colorado on Wednesday, resulting in a better chance of thunderstorms with heavy rainfall possible, favoring southern portions of the District.