Time: 932 AM Mon August 1, 2022 Forecaster: Laura Smith

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

ISOLATED AFTERNOON TO EVENING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
-Isolated thunderstorm activity is expected across the District today. Highs this afternoon will reach the mid 90's, dewpoints in the mid 40's to low 50's. Best chances for thunderstorms today will be across the foothills between noon through 7pm.
-Showers and thunderstorms are expected to initiate across higher terrain around noon. Storms will move east-southeast around 10-20 mph as they traverse the plains. High-based storms will produce light to briefly moderate rainfall and gusty winds.
-Dry conditions are expected for the remainder of the evening and overnight period.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers and weak to briefly moderate thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts of a trace to 0.3".

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stronger thunderstorm is able to develop with the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.3-0.6" in 10-30 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: High pressure ridging continues across the intermountain west, transporting monsoonal moisture into the state throughout the week. The warming trend continues Tuesday with temperatures in the mid 90s and a chance for afternoon isolated showers and thunderstorms. A cool front is expected to sweep across the plains Wednesday, bringing temperatures down to the upper 80s followed by a chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Arapahoe 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Boulder 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Broomfield 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Denver 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Douglas 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Jefferson 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 1200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
Douglas 1200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
Jefferson 1200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/