Time: 449 PM Mon July 22, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District and will be valid until 10:00 PM this evening.
-Widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop over the District shortly. Strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce heavy rainfall which may lead to excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding. Due to the rainfall over the past couple days and a saturated ground in many areas it will not take as much rain as normal to produce excessive runoff.
-One to two rounds of storms are likely into the evening with thunderstorm activity expected to diminish around sunset or shortly after. Storms will typically move from NW to SE at around 20mph. Some storms along surface wind convergence lines may move more slowly.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.4-1.2" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong slower moving thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells may produce up to 2.5" in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM 530 PM TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Denver Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (30%) HIGH
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (20%) HIGH
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (20%) HIGH
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.4" (20%) HIGH
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.