Time: 943 AM Sat June 8, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

ISOLATED AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS TURNING TO LIGHT RAINFALL OVERNIGHT
-An unseasonably cold trough of low pressure will be moving into northern Colorado today and tonight resulting in isolated thunderstorm activity this afternoon and evening with light rain showers continuing likely overnight. High temperatures will be reached early as a cold front moves through this afternoon with readings topping out in the mid 70's to lower 80's over the plains then falling into the later afternoon.
-Chances for thunderstorm activity will be from roughly 2:00-10:00 PM then precipitation will favor rain showers. The cold front is expected to inhibit stronger storms with most thunderstorms being weak to moderate today. Beyond 10:00 PM a modest chance for rain showers will continue overnight some of which may persist into Sunday morning. Some late season snow cannot be ruled out above 9,000ft in the foothills.
-Showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will move from WSW to ENE at around 20mph then upper level steering winds will turn to the N/NE overnight as upslope flow develops. Typical storms today will produce light to moderate rain, heavy rainfall is not anticipated.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers and weak thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.2" in 10-30 minutes. A moderate thunderstorm will be capable of producing 0.2-0.4" in 10-30 minutes. Rain showers overnight will result in rainfall rates of up to 0.2"/hr.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A unexpected strong thunderstorm develops with the potential to produce 0.2-0.6" in 10-30 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Unseasonably cool on Sunday with highs only in the 50's to lower 60's over the plains. There will be a chance for lingering rain showers in the morning all areas and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon favoring the foothills. Heavy rainfall is not expected.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 200 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Arapahoe 200 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Boulder 200 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Broomfield 200 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Denver 200 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Douglas 200 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Jefferson 200 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 100 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Douglas 100 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
Jefferson 100 PM TO 1000 AM SUN
Trace (95%) to 0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (25%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.