Time: 457 PM Fri May 17, 2019 Forecaster: Alan Smith

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL CONTINUE VALID
-Message 1's will continue valid for the entire District until 9:00pm.
-Strong to severe thunderstorms have largely remained just north and northeast of the District this afternoon. There are enough wind and moisture boundaries in place that additional storms could impact the District through the early evening hours, favoring northern and eastern areas. Strong storms will remain capable of producing brief heavy rains.
-The best chance of storms across the District will be through early evening, before tapering off after sunset.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers and weak to moderate storms will produce TR-0.3" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms could produce rainfall of 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slower moving strong thunderstorm or training of strong thunderstorm cells may result in up to 1.4" in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.