Time: 140 PM Tue July 2, 2019 Forecaster: Alan Smith

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District until 10:00pm.
-Thunderstorms have developed over the higher terrain of Jefferson and Boulder Counties early this afternoon. Storm coverage will continue to increase across the foothills over the next 1-2 hours before spreading onto the plains by later this afternoon.
-Storms today are slow-moving and erratic, and will have the potential to produce heavy rainfall with abundant low level moisture in place. The most widespread thunderstorm activity over the District is likely in the late afternoon to early evening time frame, before activity gradually winds down later this evening.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall of 0.5-1.5" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong, stationary thunderstorm could produce heavy rainfall of up to 3.0" in 90-120 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM 300 PM TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (20%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (20%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (20%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1.5" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (100%) to 0.5" (55%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (100%) to 0.5" (55%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM TUE
0.1" (100%) to 0.5" (55%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.