Time: 959 PM Sat July 13, 2019 Forecaster: Nick Barlow

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 10:00PM
-Message 1's issued for the entire District will be allowed to expire at 10:00pm, as the threat for heavy rainfall has come to an end.
-Moderate to heavy thunderstorms impacted much of the District late this afternoon and early evening. Some of these storms were able to produce moderate to heavy rainfall totals due to enhanced moisture levels and weak/erratic steering flow along multiple outflow boundaries.
-With the lack of large-scale forcing and loss of daytime heating, only light to moderate showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected for the remainder of the evening.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Showers and isolated thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts between 0.05-0.25" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong, slow-moving cluster of thunderstorms produces up to 0.60" rainfall in 30-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (85%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (85%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (85%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1200 AM SUN
Trace (90%) to 0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.