Time: 524 PM Sun July 21, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District and will be valid through 11:00 PM this evening.
-Thunderstorms are currently developing to the W and E of the District at this time and should fill in over the District over the next couple hours. Relatively slow storm motions and ample moisture will result in stronger storms capable of producing heavy rainfall that could lead to excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding.
-Due to the rainfall yesterday, some areas may not take as much rain today to produce excessive runoff due to a saturated ground. Stronger thunderstorm cells may also produce gusty straight line winds and large hail as well as heavy rainfall. Thunderstorm activity may persist well past sunset this evening.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Strong thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall amounts of 0.5-1.5" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A nearly stationary strong thunderstorm or a large thunderstorm complex may produce heavy rainfall of up to 3.0" in 90-120 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1100 PM 600 PM TO 1000 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1.5" (25%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.