Time: 621 PM Fri July 12, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S WILL CONTINUE VALID
-Message 1's will continue valid for the District through 9:00 PM.
-The majority of the strong thunderstorm activity remained over far eastern areas of the District this afternoon. These storms have moved E and NE with generally quiet conditions over the District currently. An outflow boundary from previous storms continues to move through the District from W to E and will move into the foothills over the next hour. Additional thunderstorms may develop as this outflow interacts with the higher terrain.
-If additional thunderstorms are able to develop they will be capable of producing brief heavy rainfall although the chances are much lower than earlier today. By sunset the risk for heavy rainfall is expected to be low enough to allow messages to expire.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Weak thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.2". Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong stationary thunderstorm will have the potential to produce up to 1.4" in 30-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (65%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (65%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM FRI
Trace (65%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.