Time: 349 AM Thu July 28, 2022 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE'S WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 4:00 AM
-Message 1's will be allowed to expire for all Counties at 4:00 AM as the threat for heavy rainfall has lowered for the remainder of the overnight period. Thunderstorms to the N of the District diminished upon approach leaving some lighter rain showers in their wake.
-Strong thunderstorms developed over the District hours ago producing heavy rainfall and hail resulting in excessive runoff roadways and isolated areas of flash flooding. The thunderstorm activity has long since diminished.
-There will be a few light rain showers and possibly a weak thunderstorm that into early Thursday morning but heavy rainfall is no longer anticipated. Another active thunderstorm day is expected later today and with all of the rain yesterday it may not take as much rain this afternoon to produce excessive runoff as the ground has become saturated in some areas.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Additional rain showers and possibly a weak thunderstorm overnight will produce a trace to 0.3" of rain in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A moderate thunderstorm is able to develop in a cooling airmass with the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" of rain in 10-30 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Arvada 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
DIA 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Denver County 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Adams County 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 400 AM Current TO 400 AM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Boulder Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Broomfield Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Denver Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 1000 AM THU
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/