Time: 1006 PM Fri August 19, 2022 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S HAVE BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 4:00 AM FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been extended until 4:00 AM tomorrow morning as the threat for heavy rainfall remains.
-An outflow boundary from a cell to the south has moved all the way through the District initiating a few isolated rain showers/thunderstorms at this time. These storms have not been exceptionally strong, however, with good upper-level support aloft and dew points in the 50's, even small/weak showers have been efficient rain producers as they quickly pulse up and down. This will result in the largest threat being a quick 0.5" in 10-15 minutes as a storm pulses up and quickly rains itself out.
-Best chance for these showers will be from now until 4am. Storms this evening will be very hit and miss as they remain fairly stationary, which has also increased the chance for isolated brief heavy rainfall through the overnight. Skies will gradually clear tomorrow by daybreak with another chance for showers/thunderstorms tomorrow.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers will produce a trace to 0.3" in 10-30 minutes. a moderate to strong rain shower/thunderstorm will produce 0.3-0.6" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong, stationary storm has the potential to produce 0.6-1.8" in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Arvada 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
DIA 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Denver County 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Adams County 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Douglas County 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Boulder County 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY
Lakewood 1 Current TO 400 AM SATURDAY Current TO 300 AM SATURDAY

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (5%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (5%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.6" (5%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 400 AM SAT
Trace (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/