Time: 304 PM Thu June 20, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District and will be valid through 9:00 PM this evening.
-SE winds have increased surface moisture over the District through the day with dew points now in the mid to upper 40's. Thunderstorms have already initiated, some of which are strong to severe over eastern areas. Fast storm motions from WSW to ENE at around 30-35mph will help to reduce point rainfall amounts and stronger storms will also contain hail.
-A slower moving thunderstorm or training of thunderstorm cells will produce the highest threats for prolonged heavy rainfall that could lead to excessive runoff and flash flooding. Strong thunderstorm cells will have the potential to produce gusty straight line winds and large hail.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Moderate to strong thunderstorms will produce 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slower moving or training of thunderstorm cells could result in heavy rainfall of up to 1.4" in 60 minutes or less.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Arvada 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 900 PM Current TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (60%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 900 PM THU
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.