Time: 953 PM Sun June 16, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES 1'S EXTENDED EAST AND ALLOWED TO EXPIRE WEST
-Message 1's have been extended until midnight for Adams, Denver and Arapahoe Counties. Message 1's have been allowed to expire for Boulder, Broomfield, Douglas and Jefferson Counties.
-Strong thunderstorm activity continues just north of the District and may survive into the District through the late evening with the potential for pickets of heavy rainfall. Western areas are in a more stable air mass and less prone to strong storms for the duration of the evening.
-Best chances for heavy rainfall through midnight will be east of I-25 favoring far eastern areas and northeastern areas of the District. Strong thunderstorm cells may produce large hail and gusty winds.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall amounts of 0.3-0.7" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm could stall along a wind convergence boundary and produce heavy rainfall of up to 1.4" in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1159 PM Current TO 1130 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Denver Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM SUN
0.1" (40%) to 0.3" (20%) to 0.8" (5%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.