Time: 207 PM Sun June 16, 2019 Forecaster: Alan Smith

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District until 10:00pm.
-Thunderstorms have formed over the foothills and Palmer Divide early this afternoon, and a new line of thunderstorms is beginning to develop along a convergence boundary near the southern and eastern fringes of the District. Storm chances will continue to increase across the District through the afternoon, with the potential for outflow-triggered thunderstorms from these early storms.
-Storm motions are generally to the E/NE at 10-15mph, but storms could potentially stall along convergence boundaries and produce heavy rainfall. The threat for stronger thunderstorms could increase late this afternoon and early this evening due to outflow boundaries reaching the District from the north and ushering in deeper moisture.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall amounts of 0.4-1.2" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm could stall along a wind convergence boundary and produce heavy rainfall of up to 2.75" in 90-120 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM SUN
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (55%) to 1.2" (25%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.