Time: 611 PM Mon May 17, 2021 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S CONTINUE VALID FOR THE DISTRICT
-Message 1's will continue valid for the entire District until 10:00pm this evening. The threat for heavy thunderstorm rainfall is diminishing but moderate to heavy rainfall continues possible over the next few hours.
-The strongest thunderstorms have recently diminished with a more widespread light to moderate rain now ongoing from roughly I-25 westward. A wetting rain will continue into the evening with lighter rainfall rates that what were observed earlier today. Runoff from rain showers into the evening may result in smaller creeks and streams running high.
-Best chances for additional showers and weak thunderstorms will be through 10pm this evening. Additional light rain showers continue likely overnight with an uptick in rain showers possible by mid-morning Tuesday.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers and weak thunderstorms will produce 0.1-0.4" in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong thunderstorms. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.4-0.9" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm becomes stationary producing an extended period of heavy rainfall with up to 1.5" in 60 minutes or less.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (80%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (95%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (95%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (95%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (90%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (95%) to 0.4" (40%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (100%) to 0.4" (50%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (100%) to 0.4" (50%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM MON
0.1" (100%) to 0.4" (50%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/