Time: 942 AM Sat August 17, 2024 Forecaster: Tim Tonge

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

Hot and mostly dry, minimal chance of evening showers
Another mostly dry day until the monsoonal moisture transport setup re-establishes itself late tonight and into tomorrow. Almost all available moisture being delivered into Colorado will arrive in the afternoon and be contained west of the Continental Divide, though an isolated chance of a brief, low impact shower in the foothills exists this evening. Most cells that do spill over the Divide will struggle to maintain themselves in the dry airmass present on the plains, raining themselves out over the foothills in brief fashion.

Showers will clear by late evening and skies will be slightly cloudy before an increased chances of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow.

Note: there appears to be a glitch in the table. All District county locations have equal, minimal rainfall chances today.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers will produce Trace-0.10" of rain in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stray shower that survives into the northern foothills of the District in the evening could produce 0.25" in 10-30 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Moisture will increase by tomorrow and peak Monday before tapering off as the work week continues. Temperatures will hover around or just above 90 in the afternoons for the foreseeable future.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
Douglas 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
Jefferson 600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
     
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/