Time: 956 AM Wed May 15, 2024 Forecaster: Laura Smith

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms this Afternoon and Evening
Upper level troughing is in place across the Intermountain West following the cold front this morning. Afternoon highs will reach the upper 60s to low 70s, dew points around 40°F, and precipitable water (PWAT) values between 0.55 and 0.65 inches. This pattern will support cooler, unsettled weather across the District today and tonight. Chances for scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing more meaningful precipitation improve this afternoon and evening. A few isolated light showers may linger into the overnight hours gradually clearing by the early morning hours.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers and thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.25” total rainfall 15-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A moderate to strong thunderstorm will have the potential to produce up to 0.50” total rainfall total in 10-30 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Temperatures will rebound on Thursday with afternoon highs in the mid 70s and dew points low 30s. Showers and thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon and evening followed by clearing skies overnight.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 100 PM TO 800 PM
0.05" (85%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (15%) LOW
Arapahoe 100 PM TO 900 PM
0.05" (85%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (15%) LOW
Boulder 100 PM TO 800 PM
0.05" (85%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (15%) LOW
Broomfield 100 PM TO 800 PM
0.05" (85%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (15%) LOW
Denver 100 PM TO 900 PM
0.05" (85%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (15%) LOW
Douglas 100 PM TO 900 PM
0.05" (85%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (15%) LOW
Jefferson 100 PM TO 900 PM
0.05" (85%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (15%) LOW
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 1200 PM TO 800 PM
0.05" (90%) to 0.25" (60%) to 0.5" (30%) LOW
Douglas 1200 PM TO 900 PM
0.05" (90%) to 0.25" (60%) to 0.5" (30%) LOW
Jefferson 1200 PM TO 900 PM
0.05" (90%) to 0.25" (60%) to 0.5" (30%) LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/