Time: 906 PM Sun August 27, 2023 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1’S HAVE BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 11:00 PM AS THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES
Message 1’s will be extended until 11:00pm as the threat of heavy rainfall continues.

Another round of showers/isolated thunderstorms will move through the District from the NW to SE over the next couple of hours bringing some additional rainfall across most of the District. These storms are moving between 10-20mph which is limiting point rainfall amounts. However, with dew points in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, a stalled shower, or moderate to strong thunderstorm will have the potential to produce a quick 0.4-0.6” in 10-30 minutes. Typical showers/isolated thunderstorms will produce between 0.05-0.25” total rainfall, with a few pockets that could produce isolated higher amounts.

A chance for off and on showers will persist through the overnight with any shower activity coming to an end between 2-3am. Skies will gradually clear through the rest of the overnight as lows decrease into the low to mid 60s. Very little overall chance for tomorrow with another chance for storms by midday, with similar NW to SE storm motions.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers/isolated thunderstorms will produce a 0.05-0.25” total in 10-30 minutes. A moderate to strong shower/thunderstorm will produce 0.25-0.60” total in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm, or training of thunderstorm cells has the potential to produce 0.60-1.20” in under 60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1100 PM SUN
0.05" (50%) to 0.25" (30%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/