Time: 935 PM Fri July 14, 2023 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District and will be valid until 1:00 AM Saturday.

A boundary has moved in from the N/NE and has sparked late evening thunderstorms which may become more numerous over the next few hours. Relatively fast storm motions will help to reduce point rainfall amounts from a single storm with training of thunderstorm cells possibly producing periods of heavy rainfall that may result in excessive runoff.

Thunderstorms will generally move from WNW to ESE at 20-25mph with stronger storms potentially moving more slowly. Strong thunderstorms may also contain hail, gusty winds as well as brief heavy rainfall. Best chances for storms will be over the next 2-3 hours, most likely favoring areas along and E of I-25.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.5-1.2” in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: Training of thunderstorm cells may produce heavy rainfall of up to 2.0” in 60-75 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Douglas County 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Adams County 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Denver County 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
DIA 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Arvada 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY
Lakewood 1 Current TO 100 AM SATURDAY Current TO 1200 AM SATURDAY

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1" (25%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (90%) to 0.5" (50%) to 1" (25%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (80%) to 0.5" (40%) to 1" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 100 AM SAT
0.1" (75%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/