Time: 1210 PM Sat July 6, 2019 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's have been issued for the entire District until 10:00pm.
-A continued unstable environment has entrenched across the District this afternoon with dew point values currently in the mid to upper 50s. Thunderstorms have began to develop along the foothills in the last hour and will spread onto the plains with the potential of becoming severe. Temperatures have stayed cool so far, but with sunny skies and enhanced surface moisture and storms that will develop will have the threat for heavy rainfall.
-Storms today will have the potential to develop rapidly and become strong to severe. Storm motions will be to the E/SE at 8-13mph, with deep moisture in place storms could produce very heavy rainfall in a short amount of time. Storms will also be capable of producing severe weather, including large hail, damaging wind gusts, and possibly even a tornado favoring areas east of I-25.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms will be capable of producing rainfall amounts of 0.4-1.2" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong/severe thunderstorm produces heavy rainfall of up to 2.5" in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (30%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (30%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (30%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (30%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (60%) to 1.0" (30%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM SAT
Trace (90%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1.0" (20%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.