Time: 949 PM Wed August 21, 2019 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

ALL MESSAGES HAVE EXPIRED OR WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 10:00 PM
-All LIF's and Message 3's issued earlier have already expired and the remaining Message 1's will be allowed to expire at 10:00 PM as the the threat for heavy rainfall has ended for the day.
-Strong and severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and evening resulted in heavy rainfall over a large portion of the District. These storms have since weakened and moved out of the area leaving only a chance for a few isolated light rain showers or possibly a weak thunderstorm through midnight.
-With surface moisture still in place on Thursday, thunderstorms that develop in the afternoon and evening will continue to have the potential to produce heavy rainfall. With the heavy rainfall today it may not take as much rainfall tomorrow in saturated areas to produce excessive runoff.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers and possibly a weak thunderstorm will produce a trace to 0.2".

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A moderate to briefly strong thunderstorm is able to develop with the potential to produce 0.2-0.6" in 10-30 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 950 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.