Time: 1026 PM Sat August 14, 2021 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE FOR PORTIONS OF THE DISTRICT AT 11:00 PM
-Message 1's will be allowed to expire for Jefferson County, incl. Wheat Ridge, Lakewood, Arvada, Denver County, Arapahoe County, incl. Aurora & Douglas County at 11:00pm as the threat for heavy rainfall has come to an end.
-A disturbance from the NW moved through the District earlier this evening resulting in rapid storm development for areas south of I-70. At this time, a few lingering rain showers towards the eastern portion of the District will continue to move S/SE as they continue to weaken.
-Skies will gradually clear through the overnight leading to mild conditions with lows dropping into the upper 50's to low 60's for the plains with low to mid 50's along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: weak rain showers will produce a trace to 0.1" in 10-30 minutes. A moderate rain shower could produce 0.1-0.3" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A thunderstorm or slow moving rain showers has the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" in under 60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1100 PM Current TO 1030 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Arapahoe Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Broomfield Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Denver Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (10%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 1159 PM SAT
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/