Time: 1006 AM Wed May 15, 2019 Forecaster: Nick Barlow

Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program

CONTINUED WARM WITH ISOLATED HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
-Flow aloft turns more westerly across Colorado Wednesday, which will continue the trend of summer-like temperatures along the Front Range. Look for afternoon highs in the mid 80s today with plenty of sunshine expected this morning.
-Similar to previous days, enough moisture remains for isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Today’s storms will be high-based and produce little rainfall, with gusty outflow winds and lightning being the greatest hazards.
-Today's storms will track in an easterly direction at 15-20mph, with the best chance for a storm over the District occurring between about 2pm-7pm.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Showers and thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts of Trace-0.15" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: An isolated stronger thunderstorm or training of storm cells over the same area results in rainfall up to 0.40" in 60-90 minutes.

A LOOK AHEAD: Temperatures peak across the region on Thursday, with building SW flow aloft ahead of a Pacific trough of low pressure. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, with continued chances for isolated, high-based storms.

Location Prime Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (10%) NONE
Arapahoe 200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (10%) NONE
Boulder 200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (10%) NONE
Broomfield 200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (10%) NONE
Denver 200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (60%) to 0.1" (40%) to 0.2" (10%) NONE
Douglas 200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (70%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (10%) NONE
Jefferson 200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (70%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (10%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (70%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (15%) NONE
Douglas 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (70%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (15%) NONE
Jefferson 100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (70%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (15%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.