Time: 633 PM Tue May 28, 2019 Forecaster: Nick Barlow

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL CONTINUE VALID
-Message 1's issued for the entire District will continue valid until 10:00pm.
-Shower and thunderstorm activity has largely diminished at this hour across much of NE Colorado, as upper-level low pressure lifts NE. The threat for heavy rainfall is now decreasing.
-Current observations show another batch of showers sinking S out of Wyoming, which should move into the District between about 8-9pm. This final pulse appears light, likely favoring rain showers vs. thunderstorms at this time.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Light to moderate showers and thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts between 0.05-0.20" in 10-30 minutes. Strong thunderstorms may produce rainfall between 0.20-0.50" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong, nearly-stationary thunderstorm produces up to 1.20" rainfall in 60-90 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (35%) to 0.5" (5%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (35%) to 0.5" (5%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (35%) to 0.5" (5%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (65%) to 0.3" (35%) to 0.5" (5%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 200 AM WED
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.5" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.