| - | Message 1's will continue valid over NW portions of the District until 10pm although the threat for heavy rainfall is diminishing. |
| - | A warm layer of air aloft has kept any moderate to strong storm development at bay despite moisture levels rising significantly from this morning as the 6pm sounding in Denver yielded 1.09" of precipitable water. A surface wind convergence line still exists over NW portions of the District but is is now washing out and reducing storm chances. |
| - | There is still a slight chance for a stronger, slow moving thunderstorm to develop but now that temperatures are backing off as the sun sets this threat is much lower than just a couple hours ago. As time passes this evening the threat for heavy rainfall also diminishes likely allowing Messages to expire at 10pm. |
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stationary strong thunderstorm will have the potential to produce up to 1.2" in 30-60 minutes.
| County-specific Quantitative Precipitation Outlook |
Precipitation Time | 30-Minute Rainfall and % Probability |
Message Potential |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plains | |||
| Adams |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) | |
| Arapahoe |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (10%) to 0.6" (5%) | |
| Boulder |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (60%) to 0.2" (30%) to 0.6" (10%) | |
| Broomfield |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) | |
| Denver |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (10%) to 0.6" (5%) | |
| Douglas |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (10%) to 0.6" (5%) | |
| Jefferson |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) | |
| Foothills above 6500ft | |||
| Boulder |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.6" (15%) | |
| Douglas |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (10%) to 0.6" (5%) | |
| Jefferson |
Current TO
1000 PM THU |
Trace (50%) to 0.2" (20%) to 0.6" (10%) |
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.