Time: 147 AM Sat June 3, 2023 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 2:00 AM
Message 1’s will be allowed to expire at 2:00 AM as the thunderstorms and heavier rain showers have dissipated.

Light to moderate rain showers will continue possible for the remainder of the overnight period into daybreak Saturday morning. Rain showers and isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage as the morning wears on Saturday “upslope” flow will be in place along the I-25 corridor. Moisture will increase further and thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall that may lead to excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding.

If temperatures remain too cool in the lower 60's the precipitation may favor light to moderate rain showers versus heavy thunderstorm rain. Either way a wet day is in store for Saturday and Message 1’s will likely be issued by noon or before.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers and possibly a weak thunderstorms will produce rainfall rates of a trace to 0.3" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A moderate to strong thunderstorm is able to develop and may result in rainfall rates of 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Boulder County 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Douglas County 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Adams County 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Denver County 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
DIA 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Arvada 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY
Lakewood 1 Current TO 200 AM Current TO 100 AM SUNDAY

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) NONE
Arapahoe Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) NONE
Boulder Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) NONE
Broomfield Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) NONE
Denver Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (100%) to 0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) NONE
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) NONE
Douglas Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (100%) to 0.1" (80%) to 0.3" (40%) NONE
Jefferson Current TO 900 AM SAT
Trace (80%) to 0.1" (60%) to 0.3" (30%) NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/