Time: 614 PM Fri July 23, 2021 Forecaster: Brad Simmons

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S CONTINUE VALID FOR THE ENTIRE DISTRICT
-Message 1's will continue valid over the District although the threat for thunderstorms is diminishing.
-A gust front/pseudo cold front that moved through the District earlier from N to S did not initiate any meaningful storm activity as it moved through. Behind this feature temperatures have cooled into the upper 70's to mid 80's lowering the threat for strong thunderstorms.
-There will still be a chance for additional rain showers and and possibly weak to moderate thunderstorms as the evening progresses. Even a moderate thunderstorm will be capable of producing brief heavy rainfall. Overnight, isolated to widely scattered rain showers continue possible into Saturday morning.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Rain showers will produce a trace to 0.2". Weak to moderate thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 0.3-0.8" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm develops with the potential to produce 0.5-1.5" of heavy rain in 10-30 minutes and up to 2.5" in 45-60 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM 400 PM TO 900 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (25%) to 0.8" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (40%) to 0.8" (15%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM FRI
0.1" (90%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.8" (25%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/