Time: 351 PM Thu July 28, 2022 Forecaster: Justin Brooks

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1'S & 2'S WILL CONTINUE VALID UNTIL 10:00 PM
-Message 2's for Boulder, Broomfield and Jefferson Counties will continue valid until 10:00pm. Message 1's for the remainder of the District will also continue valid until 10:00pm as the threat for heavy rainfall remains.
-Initial storm development has held off as sufficient cloud cover helped limit daytime heating today. Models are still indicating a decent chance for a round or two of rain showers this evening. The best chance for storms looks to be from 5pm, through 8pm with scattered rain showers/isolated thunderstorms possible between 8-11pm before rainfall chances taper off through the overnight.
-Storms that do develop will be efficient rainfall producers very capable of producing heavy downpours that may lead to excessive runoff and possibly flash flooding. Storms will be relatively slow moving from NW to SE between 10-15mph, with a chance some storms may anchor in place leading to an increase chance for isolated long lasting moderate to heavy rainfall, especially along the foothills this evening.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers/thunderstorms will produce 0.3-1.0" in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce rainfall rates of 1.0-2.0 in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong anchored thunderstorm or training of moderate to strong thunderstorms may result in rainfall rates up to 3.0" in 45-75 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Wheat Ridge 2 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Lakewood 2 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Arvada 2 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Broomfield County 2 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Jefferson County 2 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Boulder County 2 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (50%) to 1.0" (25%) to 2.0" (5%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (50%) to 1.0" (25%) to 2.0" (5%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (50%) to 1.0" (25%) to 2.0" (5%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (50%) to 1.0" (25%) to 2.0" (5%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (50%) to 1.0" (25%) to 2.0" (5%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (50%) to 1.0" (25%) to 2.0" (5%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (50%) to 1.0" (25%) to 2.0" (5%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (75%) to 1.0" (50%) to 2.0" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (75%) to 1.0" (50%) to 2.0" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 1000 PM THU
0.3" (75%) to 1.0" (50%) to 2.0" (10%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/