Time: 345 PM Thu July 18, 2024 Forecaster: Aaron O

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGE 1’S HAVE BEEN ISSUED EFFECTIVE UNTIL 9:00 PM
Storms have currently developed over the higher elevations, around the Continental Divide, and will move into the District within the next hour or two.

Storm motions will be moving NW to SE at 15-20 mph, which should limit point rainfall amounts. Stronger storms will produce outflow boundaries and could cause erratic movement, lower speeds, increasing point rainfall amounts for the District. The biggest threat will be this afternoon and early evening will be a quick 0.50-0.60” in 10-30 minutes rather than any long lasting rainfall.

Storms will continue to impact the region over the next several hours with a few lingering showers in the early evening. Skies will gradually clear just after sunset with temperatures dropping into the low 60s in the plains and mid to upper 50s in the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers and thunderstorms today will produce 0.20”-0.60” total in 10-30 minutes. A moderate to strong thunderstorm will produce 0.60"-0.90" total in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slow-moving, strong thunderstorm may be capable of producing up to 1.25” or more in 30 minutes or less.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Arvada 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Lakewood 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
DIA 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Denver County 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Adams County 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Douglas County 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Broomfield County 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Boulder County 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM
Jefferson County 1 400 PM TO 900 PM 500 PM TO 800 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (60%) to 0.6" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Arapahoe 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (60%) to 0.6" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Boulder 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (60%) to 0.6" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Broomfield 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (60%) to 0.6" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Denver 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (60%) to 0.6" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Douglas 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (60%) to 0.6" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (60%) to 0.6" (30%) to 0.9" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (75%) to 0.6" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
Douglas 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (75%) to 0.6" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
Jefferson 400 PM TO 900 PM
0.2" (75%) to 0.6" (50%) to 0.9" (20%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
https://f2p2.udfcd.org/generator/