Time: 609 PM Mon May 27, 2019 Forecaster: Nick Barlow

Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program

MESSAGES WILL CONTINUE VALID
-Message 1's issued for the entire District will continue valid until 10:00pm this evening.
-Strong to severe thunderstorms thus far today have favored the northern and eastern portions of the District, focused along a boundary of converging winds and higher surface moisture. This boundary continues to lift N over the District this evening, which will decrease the threat for additional storms into mid evening.
-Focus shifts later tonight towards a cold front backing into NE Colorado. The front is relatively weak, but could provide lift for additional showers and thunderstorms overnight. With elevated moisture levels in place, heavy rainfall remains possible. Message 1's may need to be extended beyond 10:00pm to account for these details.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Showers and thunderstorms will produce rainfall amounts of 0.2-0.6" in 10-30 minutes.

WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slow-moving, strong to severe thunderstorm or training of storm cells over the same area could result in rainfall up to 1.75" in 45-75 minutes.

County Message Valid Times Prime Time
Arapahoe County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
DIA 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Denver County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Adams County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Douglas County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Broomfield County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Jefferson County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Boulder County 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Lakewood 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
the City of Aurora 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Arvada 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM
Wheat Ridge 1 Current TO 1000 PM Current TO 1000 PM

County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook
Precipitation Time 30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability
Message
Potential
Plains      
Adams Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Arapahoe Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Boulder Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Broomfield Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Denver Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (45%) to 0.6" (10%) ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft      
Boulder Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (75%) to 0.3" (55%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Douglas Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
Jefferson Current TO 500 AM TUE
0.1" (70%) to 0.3" (50%) to 0.6" (15%) ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.