Time: 1112 PM Thu May 11, 2023 Forecaster: Brad Simmons ------------------------- MESSAGE 1 Flash Flood Prediction Program ------------------------- **** LOW IMPACT FLOODING **** PRIORITY DISSEMINATION RECOMMENDED We have determined that low impact flooding is likely in the following counties: BROOMFIELD, JEFFERSON, BOULDER (CITY OF BOULDER AFFECTED, FOUR MILE BURN AREA AFFECTED) including: LAKEWOOD, WHEAT RIDGE, ARVADA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ from: Current to 1000 AM . Prime time for flooding: Current to 800 AM . ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Forecast rainfall: Light rain showers will produce rainfall rates of 0.1-0.3" in 60 minutes. Moderate to heavy non-thunderstorm rain showers will produce rainfall rates of 0.3-0.9" in 60 minutes. Very heavy rain showers or a weak to moderate thunderstorm has the potential to produce rainfall amounts of 0.5-1.5" in 30-60 minutes. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ The most likely areas to be impacted by flooding are: X Mountain streams & floodplains; road crossings; canyon roads & highways; recreational trails; adjacent open space areas/campgrounds/parks; fishing access points & stream reaches; buildings near streams; utilities X Urban streams/gulches; road crossings; recreational trails; adjacent open space areas/campgrounds/parks; floodplain properties; utilities X Urban streets, intersections, low lying areas, known trouble spots X Mountain locations subject to mud/rock/debris slide ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Additional Information: Excessive runoff is imminent or already occurring in Boulder County, Jefferson County, Broomfield County, Arvada, Wheat Ridge, and Lakewood. A saturated ground due to 1.5-4.0" of rain already observed over a 1-2 day period is resulting in even light to moderate rain showers resulting in excessive runoff in creeks and streams. Smaller creeks and streams are already running high and additional rainfall may exacerbate runoff further and produce flooding/flash flooding conditions in the District. An additional 1.0-2.5" of rain is likely over the next 5-10 hours. This message is not intended for public dissemination. Please pass this information along to affected emergency response organizations (police, fire, public works, etc.) within your area. Also, please take appropriate actions to prepare for possible flooding. Further information will be provided to you as it becomes available. MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789    F2P2 Website [http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]