Heavy Rainfall Threat Analysis Training
by McGlone, Dana
The MHFD Heavy Rainfall Threat Analysis (hereafter, QPF-Max) creates probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) over five forecasts zones in the Denver Metro Area by ingesting several high-resolution atmospheric models (qpf.udfcd.org<https://qpf.udfcd.org/>). Real-time operations began in 2015, and QPF-Max updates three times daily (soon to be four) during the warm season from May 1 to September 30. QPF-Max has accurately anticipated the highest observed rainfall rates over 93% of the time, with only a 3% miss rate. This ensures that virtually all heavy rainfall events are captured. It is well-known that urban and topographic flooding can be triggered with rainfall intensities as low as 1 inch per hour, which are common over the Denver Metro area during the warm season. The tool was generated to address the following questions on heavy rainfall days:
* What will the heaviest rain rate be?
* What locations can expect the greatest threat?
* What is the timing of the greatest threat?
* What is the probability/confidence that heavy rainfall will occur?
Come join us (Wednesday, August 5th at 11AM MDT) for a training focused around how QPF-Max was developed, but more importantly, how to use it. We'll also do a quick lookback on some memorable output days, so you can better understand the caveats and how to interpret the forecasts. Our goal is to give you confidence in using QPF-Max to assess the daily heavy rainfall threat within your community.
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Join Microsoft Teams Meeting<https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3ameeting_NDAzMDAxYjAtYWNhZC...>
+1 571-360-4685<tel:+1%20571-360-4685,,608565454#> United States, Arlington (Toll)
Conference ID: 608 565 454#
Local numbers<https://dialin.teams.microsoft.com/6f654e3a-c846-4187-acb6-e9b2efffeb27?i...> | Reset PIN<https://mysettings.lync.com/pstnconferencing> | Learn more about Teams<https://aka.ms/JoinTeamsMeeting> | Meeting options<https://teams.microsoft.com/meetingOptions/?organizerId=d3f1a277-5f97-424...>
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Visit Dewberry's website at www.dewberry.com<https://www.dewberry.com> If you've received this email even though it's intended for someone else, then please delete the email, don't share its contents with others, and don't read its attachments. Thank you.
5 years, 5 months
F2P2 Updates & New Training Opportunity
by Kevin Stewart
For those interested in learning about the mostly unrealized heavy rain threats this past week, we suggest reading the short discussions found from the Message Day Summaries link at https://alert5.udfcd.org/flood-prediction-notification/. If anyone experienced any flood problems during this period we would appreciate hearing from you.
With monsoon thunderstorms expected to return tomorrow, we hope you will notice the supplemental QPF link in the morning HPO. It should look something like this:
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers and weak thunderstorms will produce 0.1-0.5" in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong thunderstorms will have the potential to produce 0.5-1.5" in 10-30 minutes. Supplemental QPF is available at https://qpf.udfcd.org
We have tentatively scheduled a webinar for Wednesday, August 5 at 11AM to help our partners better understand how to use this tool that we are calling QPF-Max. Dana McGlone from Dewberry will be our presenter and more information will be sent out soon. If you are interested in this training, please mark your calendars now and watch for your invite.
Stay safe and flood ready.
Kevin Stewart, P.E.
Engineering Services Manager
MILE HIGH FLOOD DISTRICT
2480 W. 26th Ave Suite 156-B | Denver, Colorado 80211
Office: 303-455-6277 | Direct: 303-749-5417 | www.mhfd.org<http://www.mhfd.org>
Protecting People, Property, and our Environment
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5 years, 5 months
[F2p2partners] help
by McCormick - DNR, Bill
--
*Bill McCormick, P.E., P.G.*
*Chief, Dam Safety Branch*
*President-Elect, Association of State Dam Safety Officials*
P 303.866.3581 Ext 8262 | C 719.338.6124
1313 Sherman Street, Rm 821
Denver, CO 80203
bill.mccormick(a)state.co.us | www.colorado.gov/water
<http://colorado.gov/water>
5 years, 5 months
[F2p2partners] REMINDER RE: Annual F2P2 Partners Meeting tomorrow
by Kevin Stewart
Agenda for tomorrows V-meeting is attached. We look forward to seeing everyone.
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Thornton addresses added to invite list. Had some trouble setting up your new email domain on our list server. Sorry about that.
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Join Microsoft Teams Meeting<https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3ameeting_ZDQxZDkyYTYtOGQwNS...>
+1 720-464-1105<tel:+1%20720-464-1105,,646854332#> United States, Denver (Toll)
Conference ID: 646 854 332#
Local numbers<https://dialin.teams.microsoft.com/4ba8133d-f6ba-4114-af26-50657808fd19?i...> | Reset PIN<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fmysettings.lync.com%2...> | Learn more about Teams<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2faka.ms%2fJoinTeamsMee...> | Meeting options<https://teams.microsoft.com/meetingOptions/?organizerId=b615c7cf-56f4-45b...>
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MEETING NOTICE: MHFD's 2020 F2P2/Flood Warning Services Review & Summer Monsoon Outlook
Presentations by meteorologists from Skyview Weather and the National Weather Service will cover their respective forecast and notification services, new developments, and outlooks concerning this year's summer monsoon. This is the time of year that historically poses the greatest risk of life-threatening flash floods to our region.
F2P2 partners will also be updated on E-notifications<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2falert5.udfcd.org%2fsu...>, ALERT 5<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2falert5.udfcd.org%2f&c...>, EMWIN<https://www.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/>, and other services. MHFD's project consultants will be available to answer questions and offer trainings.
This is a unique opportunity for you to help us further improve our early flood prediction, detection and notification services.
With this being our very first virtual meeting due to the COVID-19 pandemic, we essentially have unlimited meeting space. We would, however, appreciate receiving your RSVP to this meeting notice.
Feel free to invite your colleagues.
This year marks our 42nd year of providing flood prediction and notification services to our local government partners. Thank you all for helping make this program a continuing success.
Kevin Stewart, P.E.
Flood Warning Services Manager
MILE HIGH FLOOD DISTRICT
2480 W. 26th Ave Suite 156-B | Denver, Colorado 80211
Office: 303-455-6277 | Direct: 303-749-5417 | https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.mhfd.org&c=E,1,6t...<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....>
Protecting People, Property, and our Environment
[cid:image006.png@01D65618.55837250]
[cid:image007.jpg@01D65618.55837250]<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....> [cid:image008.jpg@01D65618.55837250] <https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....> [cid:image009.jpg@01D65618.55837250] <https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....> [cid:image010.jpg@01D65618.55837250] <https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....>
5 years, 5 months
[F2p2partners] Annual F2P2 Partners Meeting
by Kevin Stewart
________________________________________________________________________________
Join Microsoft Teams Meeting<https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3ameeting_ZDQxZDkyYTYtOGQwNS...>
+1 720-464-1105<tel:+1%20720-464-1105,,646854332#> United States, Denver (Toll)
Conference ID: 646 854 332#
Local numbers<https://dialin.teams.microsoft.com/4ba8133d-f6ba-4114-af26-50657808fd19?i...> | Reset PIN<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fmysettings.lync.com%2...> | Learn more about Teams<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2faka.ms%2fJoinTeamsMee...> | Meeting options<https://teams.microsoft.com/meetingOptions/?organizerId=b615c7cf-56f4-45b...>
________________________________________________________________________________
MEETING NOTICE: MHFD's 2020 F2P2/Flood Warning Services Review & Summer Monsoon Outlook
Presentations by meteorologists from Skyview Weather and the National Weather Service will cover their respective forecast and notification services, new developments, and outlooks concerning this year's summer monsoon. This is the time of year that historically poses the greatest risk of life-threatening flash floods to our region.
F2P2 partners will also be updated on E-notifications<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2falert5.udfcd.org%2fsu...>, ALERT 5<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2falert5.udfcd.org%2f&c...>, EMWIN<https://www.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/>, and other services. MHFD's project consultants will be available to answer questions and offer trainings.
This is a unique opportunity for you to help us further improve our early flood prediction, detection and notification services.
With this being our very first virtual meeting due to the COVID-19 pandemic, we essentially have unlimited meeting space. We would, however, appreciate receiving your RSVP to this meeting notice.
Feel free to invite your colleagues.
This year marks our 42nd year of providing flood prediction and notification services to our local government partners. Thank you all for helping make this program a continuing success.
Kevin Stewart, P.E.
Flood Warning Services Manager
MILE HIGH FLOOD DISTRICT
2480 W. 26th Ave Suite 156-B | Denver, Colorado 80211
Office: 303-455-6277 | Direct: 303-749-5417 | https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.mhfd.org&c=E,1,BS...<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....>
Protecting People, Property, and our Environment
[cid:image006.png@01D65618.55837250]
[cid:image007.jpg@01D65618.55837250]<https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....> [cid:image008.jpg@01D65618.55837250] <https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....> [cid:image009.jpg@01D65618.55837250] <https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....> [cid:image010.jpg@01D65618.55837250] <https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fu2064821.ct.sendgrid....>
5 years, 5 months
