Heavy Rainfall Threat Analysis Training

The MHFD Heavy Rainfall Threat Analysis (hereafter, QPF-Max) creates probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) over five forecasts zones in the Denver Metro Area by ingesting several high-resolution atmospheric models (qpf.udfcd.org<https://qpf.udfcd.org/>;). Real-time operations began in 2015, and QPF-Max updates three times daily (soon to be four) during the warm season from May 1 to September 30. QPF-Max has accurately anticipated the highest observed rainfall rates over 93% of the time, with only a 3% miss rate. This ensures that virtually all heavy rainfall events are captured. It is well-known that urban and topographic flooding can be triggered with rainfall intensities as low as 1 inch per hour, which are common over the Denver Metro area during the warm season. The tool was generated to address the following questions on heavy rainfall days: * What will the heaviest rain rate be? * What locations can expect the greatest threat? * What is the timing of the greatest threat? * What is the probability/confidence that heavy rainfall will occur? Come join us (Wednesday, August 5th at 11AM MDT) for a training focused around how QPF-Max was developed, but more importantly, how to use it. We'll also do a quick lookback on some memorable output days, so you can better understand the caveats and how to interpret the forecasts. Our goal is to give you confidence in using QPF-Max to assess the daily heavy rainfall threat within your community. ________________________________________________________________________________ Join Microsoft Teams Meeting<https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3ameeting_NDAzMDA... +1 571-360-4685<tel:+1%20571-360-4685,,608565454#> United States, Arlington (Toll) Conference ID: 608 565 454# Local numbers<https://dialin.teams.microsoft.com/6f654e3a-c846-4187-acb6-e9b... | Reset PIN<https://mysettings.lync.com/pstnconferencing> | Learn more about Teams<https://aka.ms/JoinTeamsMeeting> | Meeting options<https://teams.microsoft.com/meetingOptions/?organizerId=d3f1a2... ________________________________________________________________________________ Visit Dewberry's website at www.dewberry.com<https://www.dewberry.com> If you've received this email even though it's intended for someone else, then please delete the email, don't share its contents with others, and don't read its attachments. Thank you.