Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 900 AM Sat September 30, 2023
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
WARMER & BREEZY TODAY WITH A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A FEW HIGH-BASED
SHOWES/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON & EARLY EVE
This weekend kicks off the beginning of a cooling trend for the
Front Range Urban Corridor as we start to move into October. Partly to
mostly cloudy skies this afternoon, as high temperatures reach the mid
to upper 80s. A relatively weak cold front will pass through Colorado
this afternoon bringing breezy conditions across the District with
gusts up to 40mph. This cold front will also bring a very slight
chance for a few high-based showers/isolated thunderstorms with
continued gusty conditions this afternoon and tonight. If a stronger
thunderstorm forms, there will be a low chance of it becoming severe,
mainly for gusty winds up to 60mph and favoring areas east of I-25.
Initial storm development will start along the higher terrain
foothills and along the Palmer Divide just after midday. The best
chance for shower activity inside the District will be from 2-9pm with
skies gradually clearing through the overnight. Typical showers will
only be between a trace and 0.10”, however, isolated higher amounts
will be possible if stronger storms are able to develop. Overnight
lows will drop into the low to mid 50s on the plains with mid to upper
40s along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers or a weak
thunderstorm could produce a trace-0.10” total in 10-30 minutes. A
moderate shower/isolated thunderstorm could produce 0.10-0.30” total
in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm, or training of moderate
thunderstorms has the potential to produce up to 0.60” in under 60
minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: Not much change to the overall pattern tomorrow as gusty
southerly winds continues over the region, up to 40mph in the
afternoon. High temperatures will be slightly cooler in the low 80s
with dry conditions expected throughout the day. Today is the final
day for weather coverage from Skyview Weather. Thank you for another
great, record breaking season! Any questions or comments should be
directed to Bruce Rindahl at 303-455-6277 or Bruce Rindahl
brindahl(a)mhfd.org.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
Adams
300 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Arapahoe
300 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Boulder
300 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Broomfield
300 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Denver
300 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Douglas
300 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Jefferson
300 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Foothills above 6500ft
Boulder
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Douglas
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Jefferson
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 903 AM Fri September 29, 2023
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
ANOTHER WARM, DRY DAY TODAY WITH WINDS PICKING UP THIS AFTERNOON
High-pressure continues to dominate the region today leading to
slightly above average temperatures reaching the low 80s this
afternoon. Typical temperatures this time of year should be in the mid
70s. The record high for today is 92 degrees, which was set way back
in 1892! Mild conditions start the day with winds picking up in the
afternoon from the S to SE with gusts up to 25mph through nightfall.
Winds will calm overnight with dry conditions continuing into
Saturday. Overnight lows will drop into the upper 40s to low 50s on
the plains with low to mid 40s along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation is expected
today or this evening.
A LOOK AHEAD: Similar conditions remain in place tomorrow with a
little stronger wind in the afternoon with gusts from the south up to
35mph. A very slight chance for a few high-based showers/isolated
thunderstorms, with minimal, if any, precipitation making it to the
surface. High temperatures once again well above average into the mid
80s. Not much change to the overall pattern Sunday as gusty southerly
winds continue over the region, up to 40mph in the afternoon. High
temperatures will be slightly cooler in the low 80s.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 920 AM Thu September 28, 2023
Forecaster: Laura Smith
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE DISTRICT
An uneventful weather pattern continues as high-pressure ridging
persists across the Intermountain West. Today will be sunny with high
temperatures in the mid to upper 80s, and dew points in the upper 20s.
Dry conditions are expected across the District today and tonight.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No Rainfall is expected across
the District today.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: None
A LOOK AHEAD: An upper-level low will dig into the Great Basin on
Friday. Although this system is not expected to bring precipitation to
the Front Range in the coming days, it will support breezy conditions
across the area. Friday will be sunny and dry with afternoon
temperatures in the mid to upper 80s followed by breezy conditions
overnight. Very little change is expected through the weekend as
afternoon temperatures remain in the 80s with gusty winds and sunny
skies.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 938 AM Wed September 27, 2023
Forecaster: Laura Smith
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY
An uneventful weather pattern continues as high-pressure ridging
persists across the Intermountain West. This morning, a few clouds
hang over the Palmer Divide area and are expected to dissipate in the
coming hours. Today will be sunny and dry with high temperatures in
the mid 80s.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No Rainfall is expected across
the District today.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: None
A LOOK AHEAD: Thursday will be sunny and dry with afternoon
temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Very little change is expected
throughout the remainder of the week. Friday may see slightly warmer
highs in the upper 80s. Skies will remain clear and sunny into the
weekend with highs in the mid 80s.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 912 AM Tue September 26, 2023
Forecaster: Laura Smith
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE DISTRICT
An uneventful weather pattern continues as high-pressure ridging
persists across the Intermountain West. Today will be mostly sunny and
dry with high temperatures in the low to mid 80s and dew points in the
low to mid 30s.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No Rainfall is expected across
the District today.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: None
A LOOK AHEAD: Wednesday will be sunny and dry with afternoon
temperatures in the low to mid 80s once again. Very little change is
expected throughout the remainder of the week and into this weekend.
Thursday and Friday may see slightly warmer highs in the upper 80s.
Skies will remain clear and sunny into the weekend.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 847 AM Mon September 25, 2023
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
ANOTHER WARM, SUNNY & DRY DAY TODAY
Very little overall change to the weather pattern as northwesterly
flow aloft will lead to mild and dry conditions today. High
temperatures will reach the upper 70s to around 80°F this afternoon.
Winds will be calm and variable throughout the day. Overnight will
continue mild and dry with temperatures dropping into the upper 40s to
around 50 degrees on the plains with low to mid 40s along the
foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation is expected
today or this evening.
A LOOK AHEAD: High-pressure starts to build Tuesday, leading to warmer
high temperatures in the low to mid 80s with continued mild and dry
conditions. Similar conditions remain in place Wednesday & Thursday
with high temperatures remaining in the low to mid 80s under mostly
sunny skies.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 832 AM Sun September 24, 2023
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
SLIGHTLY WARMER, SUNNY & DRY
Northwesterly flow aloft will lead to a mild and dry day today. High
temperatures will reach the mid to upper 70’s this afternoon under
mostly sunny skies. Winds will be calm and variable throughout the
day. Overnight will continue mild and dry with temperatures dropping
into the mid to upper 40s on the plains with around 40 degrees along
the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation is expected
today or this evening.
A LOOK AHEAD: Slightly warmer Monday with highs in the upper 70s to
low 80s with another mild and dry day expected. High-pressure starts
to build Tuesday, leading to warmer high temperatures in the low to
mid 80s with continued mild and dry conditions. Similar conditions
remain in place Wednesday with high temperatures remaining in the low
to mid 80s.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 840 AM Sat September 23, 2023
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY WITH SUNNY, BREEZY & DRY CONDITIONS
A cold front moved through the region overnight bringing cooler
morning temperatures to start the first day of Fall. Today’s high
temperatures will reach the mid 70’s with breezy and dry conditions
expected throughout the day. Winds will pick up in the afternoon with
gusts from the north around 20mph. Winds will calm into the evening
with mild and dry conditions expected through the overnight and into
Sunday. Overnight lows will dip into the low to mid 40s on the plains,
with upper 30s to low 40s along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation is expected
today or this evening.
A LOOK AHEAD: Slightly warmer Monday with highs in the upper 70s to
low 80s with another mild and dry day expected. High-pressure starts
to build Tuesday, leading to warmer high temperatures in the low to
mid 80s with continued mild and dry conditions. Similar conditions
remain in place Wednesday with high temperatures remaining in the low
to mid 80s.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 847 AM Fri September 22, 2023
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
WARM, BREEZY & DRY TODAY
West to southwesterly flow aloft will lead to dry conditions
throughout the day today. Winds will pick up into the afternoon with
gusts up to 30mph from the W to SW. High temperatures today will reach
the upper 70s to low 80s on the plains with mid to upper 70s along the
foothills. Mild and dry this evening and through the overnight.
Overnight lows will dip into the mid to upper 40s.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation is expected
today or this evening.
A LOOK AHEAD: Cooler tomorrow with high temperatures reaching the mid
to upper 70s. Mostly sunny skies with light and variable winds
throughout the day. No change to the overall pattern Sunday with
continued mild and dry conditions with high temperatures remaining in
the mid to upper 70s. Warmer Monday with highs in the low 80s with
another mild and dry day expected.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 901 AM Thu September 21, 2023
Forecaster: Laura Smith
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY
A drying pattern emerges today as a ridge of high pressure continues
building across the Central US. Today will be mostly sunny with high
temperatures in the low to mid 80s. Dew points will be in the mid 30s
with PWAT values between 0.50” and 0.60”. Westerly upper-level
flow will support downslope winds, inhibiting storm development across
the District.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No Rainfall is expected across
the District today.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: None
A LOOK AHEAD: Friday will be sunny and breezy with highs in the upper
70s to low 80s. A cold front is expected to traverse the state Friday,
but limited moisture will inhibit storm development across the area.
Instead, gusty winds are likely Friday and Saturday as the frontal
passage makes its way across the High Plains. Looking ahead to the
weekend, skies will be sunny with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
1 year, 1 month