Time: 737 PM Mon May 20, 2024
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
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Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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MESSAGE 1’S HAVE BEEN ISSUED EFFECTIVE UNTIL 9:00 PM
Explosive storm development has persisted for areas east of I-25 and
will continue over the next hour or so. These rapidly developing
storms have contained lots of hail, heavy rain, and frequent
cloud-to-ground lightning. Storm movement has been relatively fast,
between 20-30mph, however a few storms have stalled out east and could
continue to slow as they move out of the District. Storms should
weaken as the sun sets as they continue to move eastward. The threat
of heavy rainfall will likely diminish after 9pm with skies gradually
clearing overnight.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers will produce
rainfall of a T-0.25” total in 10-30 minutes. Moderate to strong
showers have the potential to produce rainfall of 0.25” to 0.50”
total in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: Strong stationary, or training of thunderstorms
has the potential to produce 1.00” in under 60 minutes.
COUNTY
MESSAGE
VALID TIMES
PRIME TIME
Adams County
1
Current TO 900 PM
Current TO 830 PM
DIA
1
Current TO 900 PM
Current TO 830 PM
Arapahoe County
1
Current TO 900 PM
Current TO 830 PM
the City of Aurora
1
Current TO 900 PM
Current TO 830 PM
County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook PRECIPITATION TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
Adams
Current TO 900 PM MON
0.25" (60%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1" (10%)
ISSUED
Arapahoe
Current TO 900 PM MON
0.25" (60%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1" (10%)
ISSUED
Denver
Current TO 900 PM MON
0.25" (60%) to 0.5" (30%) to 1" (10%)
ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]