Time: 756 AM Mon September 20, 2021
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
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Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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COOLER TODAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON, WITH RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING
-
A cold front moved through the region overnight effectively dropping
our high temperatures into a more seasonable mid 60's to low 70's on
the plains with low to mid 60's along the foothills.
-
Mostly sunny skies to start the day with clouds gradually increasing
throughout the day. A chance this afternoon for scattered rain showers
with a slight chance for an isolated thunderstorm if temperatures are
able to warm enough. Best chance for thunderstorm activity will be
from 3-7pm with rain shower chances possible into the overnight hours.
Any shower activity should remain minimal this afternoon and evening,
however a stronger storm cannot be completely ruled out favoring areas
east of I-25 at this time.
-
Skies will gradually clear into Tuesday morning with overnight lows
dipping into the low to mid 40's for the plains with low to mid 30's
along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers will
produce a trace to 0.10" in 10-30 minutes. A weak to moderate
thunderstorm could produce 0.1-0.3" of rain in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stronger thunderstorm or training of rain
showers/thunderstorms has the potential to produce 0.3-0.8" in 60-90
minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: Tuesday will remain cooler with high temperatures in the
mid to upper 60's along with mild and dry conditions. High-pressure
returns Wednesday bringing high temperatures back into the 70's with
continued dry conditions. Similar conditions both Thursday and Friday
as high temperatures reach the low 80's.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
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Adams
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Arapahoe
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Boulder
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Broomfield
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Denver
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Douglas
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Jefferson
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (30%) to 0.1" (15%) to 0.3" (5%)
NONE
Foothills above 6500ft
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Boulder
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Douglas
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Jefferson
300 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]