Time: 1119 AM Fri August 12, 2022
Forecaster: Laura Smith
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Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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WARM AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY
-
No change in forecast. Reissuing to fix missing locations in table.
A pocket of dry air remains over eastern Colorado, supporting clear
and largely uneventful conditions across lower elevations of the
District today. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop over the Continental Divide by the afternoon.
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Today will be sunny and hot with afternoon high temperatures
expected to climb into the mid to upper 90s, dewpoints in the mid 40s.
As upper level flow shifts from southerly to southwesterly, there is a
small chance an isolated shower or two propagates into the District
later afternoon/early evening.
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Skies will be mostly clear overnight and into tomorrow morning. Lows
will dip into the mid to upper 60s.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Isolated showers have the
potential to produce a trace to 0.2" of precipitation in 30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: Slow moving storms across of near the foothills
may produce 0.2"-0.4" in 30 minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: Monsoon winds will resume moisture transport into the
area on Saturday, supporting a slight chance for afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. Highs will reach the mid to upper 90s once again. On
Sunday, high temperatures reach the mid 90s with another round of
afternoon to evening showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures begin to
cool a bit early next week with the arrival of an upper-level
disturbance. Afternoon to evening showers and thunderstorms are likely
Monday and Tuesday with highs in the low to mid 80s.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
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Adams
300 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.2" (5%)
NONE
Arapahoe
300 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.2" (5%)
NONE
Boulder
300 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.2" (5%)
NONE
Broomfield
300 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.2" (5%)
NONE
Denver
300 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.2" (5%)
NONE
Douglas
300 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.2" (5%)
NONE
Jefferson
300 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (20%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.2" (5%)
NONE
Foothills above 6500ft
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Boulder
200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.2" (10%)
NONE
Douglas
200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.2" (10%)
NONE
Jefferson
200 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.1" (20%) to 0.2" (10%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]