Time: 325 PM Wed June 26, 2024
Forecaster: Aaron O
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Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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MESSAGE 1’S HAVE BEEN ISSUED EFFECTIVE UNTIL 9:00 PM
Message 1’s have been issued for the entire District effective
until 9:00pm for the threat of heavy rainfall with a slight chance for
severe storms across the District this afternoon and evening.
Storms have initiated along the higher terrain and are expected to
move into the District over the next hour. Storm motions are SW to NE
between 15-20 mph which could help with point rainfall amounts with
erratic storm movement likely along outflow boundaries leading to a
better chance for longer lasting moderate to heavy rainfall. Storms
may also contain large hail up to 1.0” and gusty winds up to 60mph.
Dew points are also still elevated, in the upper 40s to low 50s and
will likely help fuel moderate to heavy rainfall leading to some
localized flooding.
A couple of rounds of storms will be possibly today, likely decreasing
in strength as the evening progresses with off and on showers possible
through the overnight. Overnight temperatures will drop to the mid to
upper 60s on the plains with upper 50s to low 60s along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers/thunderstorms
today will produce a trace to 0.25" total in 10-30 minutes. Moderate
to strong thunderstorms will produce up to 0.25-0.75” in 10-30
minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: Stationary thunderstorms, or training of
thunderstorm cells have the potential to produce up to 1.50” in
under 30 minutes.
COUNTY
MESSAGE
VALID TIMES
PRIME TIME
the City of Aurora
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
DIA
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Denver County
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Adams County
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Douglas County
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Broomfield County
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Jefferson County
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Boulder County
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Arvada
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
Lakewood
1
Current TO 900 PM
400 PM TO 800 PM
County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook PRECIPITATION TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
Adams
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Arapahoe
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Boulder
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Broomfield
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Denver
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Douglas
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Jefferson
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft
Boulder
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Douglas
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
Jefferson
Current TO 900 PM WED
Trace (75%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.75" (25%)
ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]