Time: 816 AM Thu July 27, 2023
Forecaster: Laura Smith
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Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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HOT SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
The heat dome currently centered over the 4-corners region will
continue to support hot conditions though the remainder of the week
and into the weekend. Today will be hot and partly to mostly sunny
with afternoon temperatures climbing into the low to mid 90s, dew
points in the low 40s, followed isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Storms will roll off the foothills during the early
afternoon hours, moving east around 25-30 MPH. Fast storm motions will
limit point rainfall amounts. Thunderstorm activity is expected to
subside across the Front Range Urban Corridor by the evening.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical thunderstorms will
produce moderate rainfall of up to 0.25” in 10-30 minutes. Strong
thunderstorms have the potential to produce heavy rainfall up to
0.50” in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: Anchored or training thunderstorms have the
potential to produce 0.50” to 1.00” in 60 minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: Very little change in the weather pattern tomorrow with
highs in the 90s along with a chance for afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. Saturday will be similar, with highs in the mid to
upper 90s and isolated showers and thunderstorms. Hot temperatures and
isolated to scattered thunderstorm activity will continue into Sunday
and early next week.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
Adams
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Arapahoe
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Boulder
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Broomfield
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Denver
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Douglas
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Jefferson
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Foothills above 6500ft
Boulder
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Douglas
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
Jefferson
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (80%) to 0.25" (50%) to 0.5" (20%)
LOW
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]