Time: 925 AM Wed July 10, 2024
Forecaster: Laura Smith
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Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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Hot, Sunny, and Dry
A slow-moving heat wave continues to expand over the Four-Corners
region, supporting hot, sunny, and mostly dry conditions throughout
the week and into the weekend. Today will be mostly sunny with
afternoon temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s. Dewpoints will be
in the upper 20s to low 30s with precipitable water (PWAT) values
around 0.50”. These conditions will encourage dry weather today,
with skies becoming partly cloudy around sunset. A few isolated
showers are possible along complex terrain later this afternoon and
evening but are expected to dissipate before reaching the Plains.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms today have the
potential to produce up to 0.10” in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm may be capable of producing
0.20” or more in 30 minutes or less.
A LOOK AHEAD: The heat wave intensifies over Colorado tomorrow as
afternoon highs climb into the mid to upper 90s. Skies will be sunny
and clear throughout the day and overnight. Friday will be hot and
sunny with temperatures soaring into triple digits across the High
Plains. Very little change to this pattern is expected Saturday as the
heat wave remains firmly anchored over the Intermountain West. High
temperatures will once again reach a scorching 100°F. Skies will
remain clear, providing no relief from the extreme heat expected with
this system. Broiling continues Sunday with afternoon highs expected
to exceed 100°F.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Foothills above 6500ft
Boulder
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.05" (15%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
Douglas
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.05" (15%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
Jefferson
200 PM TO 800 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.05" (15%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]