Time: 359 PM Mon June 12, 2023
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
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Internal Message Status
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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MESSAGE 2’S WILL CONTINUE VALID THROUGH 11:59PM.
Message 2’s will continue valid as the threat of heavy rainfall
remains at this time.
Widespread heavy, long-lasting rainfall impacted the District today
with storms moving well onto the eastern plains at this time. The
brunt of the storm action has tapered off, however, a few light
lingering showers persist over the District currently and will
continue over the next couple of hours. Another surge of
showers/thunderstorms will be possible this evening, with an abundance
of available moisture, and good upper-level support still in play,
even moderate showers will bring heavy rainfall resulting in a chance
for heavy rainfall into this evening. The best chance for additional
storm activity will be from 6-10pm this evening.
Currently temperatures are in the low to mid 50’s across the
District, which will help limit the storm strength through midnight.
After midnight, a few lingering light showers will be possible, with a
slight chance for a few isolated showers through tomorrow morning.
Overnight lows will drop to around 50 degrees on the plains with mid
40’s along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical thunderstorms have the
potential to produce rainfall between a 0.1-0.4” total, in 10-30
minutes. Moderate to strong thunderstorms have the potential to
produce moderate to heavy rainfall of 0.4” to 1.0" total, in 10-30
minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: Trainign or slow-moving thunderstorms have the
potential to produce
up to 1.8” total in 45-60 minutes.
COUNTY
MESSAGE
VALID TIMES
PRIME TIME
Boulder County
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Jefferson County
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Broomfield County
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Douglas County
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Adams County
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Denver County
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
DIA
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Arapahoe County
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
the City of Aurora
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Arvada
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Wheat Ridge
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
Lakewood
2
Current TO 1159 PM
Current TO 800 PM
County-specific Quantitative
Precipitation Outlook PRECIPITATION TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
Adams
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1" (15%)
ISSUED
Arapahoe
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1" (15%)
ISSUED
Boulder
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1" (15%)
ISSUED
Broomfield
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1" (15%)
ISSUED
Denver
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (50%) to 0.4" (25%) to 1" (15%)
ISSUED
Douglas
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1" (20%)
ISSUED
Jefferson
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (60%) to 0.4" (30%) to 1" (20%)
ISSUED
Foothills above 6500ft
Boulder
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (75%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (25%)
ISSUED
Douglas
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (75%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (25%)
ISSUED
Jefferson
Current TO 1159 PM MON
0.1" (75%) to 0.4" (50%) to 1" (25%)
ISSUED
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]