Time: 856 AM Tue June 1, 2021
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
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Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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WARM TODAY WITH A CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING RAIN
SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
-
NW flow aloft will dominate over the region today as temperatures
remain slightly below average with highs in the upper 60's to low 70's
this afternoon.
-
A weak disturbance moves in from the NW this afternoon, which will
bring increased cloud cover along with a chance for scattered rain
showers/isolated thunderstorms. Storm motions will be between
10-20mph, which will limit point rainfall amounts. Typical rain
showers/isolated thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.1" of rain in
10-30 minutes, however a slower moving thunderstorm, or training of
thunderstorms, especially along the foothills, could bring isolated
higher amounts. Best chance for rain showers/isolated thunderstorms
will be from 1-7pm, with skies clearing into the evening.
-
Overnight lows will drop into the upper 40's to low 50's on the
plains with low to mid 40's along the foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers and weak
thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.1" of rain. A moderate
thunderstorm over the higher terrain may result in 0.1-0.3" in 10-30
minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A slower moving moderate thunderstorm, or
training of thunderstorms has the potential to produce 0.6-1.0" in
30-60 minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: High-pressure start to build this evening and into
tomorrow bringing mild and dry conditions through the rest of the
week. Temperatures will also begin to increase tomorrow with highs
returning to average in the mid 70's to mid 80's through Friday.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
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Adams
200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Arapahoe
200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Boulder
200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Broomfield
200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Denver
200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Douglas
200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Jefferson
200 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (50%) to 0.1" (30%) to 0.3" (10%)
NONE
Foothills above 6500ft
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Boulder
100 PM TO 600 PM
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%)
NONE
Douglas
100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%)
NONE
Jefferson
100 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.3" (20%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]