Time: 837 AM Wed August 4, 2021
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
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Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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SLIGHTLY WARMER TODAY WITH A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LATE AFTERNOON
RAIN SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
-
A few lingering rain showers this morning have since moved eastward
and out of the District at this time. Partly cloudy skies remain and
will continue throughout the day with a very slight chance for widely
scattered late afternoon rain showers/isolated thunderstorms.
-
Temperatures today will reach the low to mid 80's on the plains with
low to mid 70's along the foothills. Most areas will be expected to
stay dry today, however a few rain showers/isolated may develop along
the foothills this afternoon with a very slight chance any rain
showers/isolated thunderstorms move into the District. Best chance
will be from 3-7pm with skies clearing through the rest of the
evening. Dew points are currently elevated, in the mid 50's, as
lingering low-level moisture remains in place. This low--level
moisture is expected to mix out as the morning progresses, however, if
the elevated surface moisture remains in place, there will be a better
chance for rain showers/thunderstorms later this afternoon and into
the early evening.
-
Overnight will be mild with temperatures dropping into the upper
50's to low 60's on the plains with low to mid 50's along the
foothills.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers will
produce a TR-0.2" in 10-30 minutes. A weak to moderate thunderstorm
could produce 0.2-0.4" in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm formed off an outflow
boundary, or training of moderate thunderstorm cells has the potential
to produce 1.2" in under 60 minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: Haze and high-pressure to return late this evening,
through the rest of the week and into this weekend. Temperatures will
be on the increase tomorrow as highs are expected to flirt with 90
degrees for most areas in the District. as the high-pressure ridge
returns, dry conditions are expected to accompany the ridge over the
next several days along with temperatures well into the 90's by this
weekend.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
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Adams
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%)
NONE
Arapahoe
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%)
NONE
Boulder
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%)
NONE
Broomfield
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%)
NONE
Denver
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%)
NONE
Douglas
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%)
NONE
Jefferson
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.2" (15%) to 0.4" (5%)
NONE
Foothills above 6500ft
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Boulder
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.2" (25%) to 0.4" (10%)
NONE
Douglas
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.2" (25%) to 0.4" (10%)
NONE
Jefferson
300 PM TO 700 PM
Trace (40%) to 0.2" (25%) to 0.4" (10%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]