Time: 924 AM Thu July 11, 2024
Forecaster: Laura Smith
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Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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Hot with isolated showers across the Foothills.
A slow-moving heat wave continues to intensify over the Four-Corners
region, supporting hot, sunny, and mostly dry conditions throughout
the week and into the weekend. Today will be mostly sunny with
afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 90s. Dewpoints will be in
the low to mid 30s with precipitable water (PWAT) values around
0.70”. These conditions will encourage dry weather with mostly sunny
skies. A few isolated showers are possible along complex terrain later
this afternoon and evening but are expected to dissipate before
reaching the Plains.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Thunderstorms today have the
potential to produce up to 0.10” in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A strong thunderstorm may be capable of producing
0.20” or more in 30 minutes or less.
A LOOK AHEAD: Friday will be hot and sunny with temperatures soaring
into triple digits across the High Plains. Very little change to this
pattern is expected Saturday as the heat wave remains firmly anchored
over the Intermountain West. High temperatures will once again reach
or exceed a scorching 100°F. Skies will remain clear, providing no
relief from the extreme heat expected with this system. Broiling
continues Sunday with afternoon highs expected to exceed 100°F once
again. The heat wave begins to break down Monday, albeit slowly.
Afternoon highs will be around 100°F, with cooler conditions expected
Tuesday.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Foothills above 6500ft
Boulder
200 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (35%) to 0.05" (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Douglas
200 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (35%) to 0.05" (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Jefferson
200 PM TO 900 PM
Trace (35%) to 0.05" (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]