Time: 942 AM Sat August 17, 2024
Forecaster: Tim Tonge
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Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
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Hot and mostly dry, minimal chance of evening showers
Another mostly dry day until the monsoonal moisture transport setup
re-establishes itself late tonight and into tomorrow. Almost all
available moisture being delivered into Colorado will arrive in the
afternoon and be contained west of the Continental Divide, though an
isolated chance of a brief, low impact shower in the foothills exists
this evening. Most cells that do spill over the Divide will struggle
to maintain themselves in the dry airmass present on the plains,
raining themselves out over the foothills in brief fashion.
Showers will clear by late evening and skies will be slightly cloudy
before an increased chances of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow.
Note: there appears to be a glitch in the table. All District county
locations have equal, minimal rainfall chances today.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical showers will produce
Trace-0.10" of rain in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stray shower that survives into the northern
foothills of the District in the evening could produce 0.25" in 10-30
minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: Moisture will increase by tomorrow and peak Monday
before tapering off as the work week continues. Temperatures will
hover around or just above 90 in the afternoons for the foreseeable
future.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Foothills above 6500ft
Boulder
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
Douglas
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
Jefferson
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
600 PM TO 1000 PM
Trace (15%) to 0.1" (10%) to 0.1" (5%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 F2P2 Website
[
http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]