Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 859 AM Fri May 13, 2022
Forecaster: Brad Simmons
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
MOSTLY SUNNY, WARM, DRY AND REMAINING BREEZY
-
Temperatures will continue to run above seasonal averages today with
highs this afternoon over the plains warming well into the 70's with
60's in the Front Range foothills. Normal high for Denver today is 70
degrees. Conditions will be dry state wide under sunny to mostly sunny
skies.
-
Winds will be weaker than yesterday but still breezy, varying from
SW to NW at 10-20mph gusting to 25-30mph or more at times. Winds will
be strongest this afternoon over the foothills and Palmer Divide and
weaken this evening, becoming light overnight.
-
The combination of warm temperatures, breezy winds and relative
humidity values bottoming out in the 5-15% range will elevate the fire
danger over the District for another day.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation today and
tonight.
A LOOK AHEAD: The weekend will be warm and dry with highs either side
of 80 degrees over the plains. Winds will be lighter but still breezy
at times during the afternoon hours. The weather pattern will become
more active early next week with a chance for showers and
thunderstorms returning to the District on Monday and Tuesday.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 5 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 901 AM Thu May 12, 2022
Forecaster: Brad Simmons
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
COOLER AND WINDY WITH DRY CONDITIONS
-
Temperatures will be cooler today as a cold front moves through but
still slightly above normal for this time of year with highs in the
lower 70's over the plains with 50's/60's in the Front Range
foothills. The front will not provide any moisture but it will
increase the winds!
-
Winds will be on the up-tick this morning from the S/SW becoming
W/NW this afternoon. Wind speeds expected to peak between 11am and 5pm
in the 15-30mph range gusting to 40-50mph or more at times. Winds will
gradually weaken this evening becoming light after midnight. Tonight
temperatures will drop into the 30's foothills and 40's plains by
daybreak Friday with dry conditions persisting.
-
The strong winds, warm temperatures and relative humidity values
bottoming out in the 5-10% range will elevate the fire danger across
the District today.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation today and
tonight.
A LOOK AHEAD: Temperatures will warm a few degrees on Friday with
readings remaining in the 70's over the plains with 60's in the
foothills. Winds will be much weaker than today but still breezy at
times during the afternoon with winds varying from SW to NW at
10-20mph, gusting to 25-30mph. The weekend is looking dry with a more
active weather pattern expected to set up next week hopefully
providing some much needed moisture for the I-25 corridor.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 5 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 900 AM Wed May 11, 2022
Forecaster: Brad Simmons
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
DRY AND BREEZY WITH NEAR RECORD HEAT
-
SW flow ahead of a storm system spinning over the Great Basin of NV
will import warmer and drier air into the District today resulting in
near record heat and breezy conditions.
-
Highs this afternoon will reach the mid 80's to around 90 over the
plains under mostly sunny skies. Record high for Denver today is 90
degrees. Normal high for Denver today is 69 degrees. The foothills
will be about 10 degrees cooler with readings in the 70's.
-
Winds will be increasing from the SW into the 10-25mph range
sustained with gusts to 30-35mph or more. Winds will weaken
considerably overnight but remain breezy at times in/near the
foothills. The unseasonably warm temperatures, breezy winds and low
relative humidity values will result in elevated fire danger today and
tomorrow.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation expected today
or tonight.
A LOOK AHEAD: A cold front will move through on Thursday which will
lower temperatures into the 70's for highs over the plains with 60's
in the foothills. Winds will be stronger than today from the S/SW
ahead of the front and W/NW behind it at 15-30mph, gusting to
40-45mph. There will likely be a build up of clouds as the front
passes but conditions expected to remain dry over the District as the
meaningful moisture remains too far N to impact NE CO.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 5 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 900 AM Tue May 10, 2022
Forecaster: Brad Simmons
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
SUNNY, WARM AND DRY
-
Another dry day over the District today with slightly above normal
temperatures. Highs this afternoon will climb into the 70's over the
plains with 60's in the Front Range foothills. Normal high for Denver
today is 69 degrees.
-
Skies will be virtually cloud free absent a few high/thin/wispy
cirrus clouds this afternoon making for sunny/mostly sunny skies.
Winds will be increasing from the S/SE at the day progresses into the
10-20mph range with higher gusts possible at times later this
afternoon.
-
Tonight conditions remain dry and mild with overnight lows in the
mid 40's to lower 50's over the plains.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation expected today
or tonight.
A LOOK AHEAD: Temperatures will continue to climb on Wednesday with
readings over the plains in the mid 80's to around 90 degrees! Winds
will increase from the S/SW becoming breezy, gusting to 30-40mph
during the afternoon. The unseasonably warm temperatures, breezy winds
and low relative humidity values will result in elevated fire danger.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 6 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 924 AM Mon May 9, 2022
Forecaster: Tim Tonge
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
WARM TEMPERATURES WITH DRY AND SUNNY CONDITIONS
-
Today will be very dry, sunny, breezy, and warm with high
temperatures reaching the upper 70's to low 80's, dewpoints dropping
into the upper teens, across the District.
-
Dry conditions will continue overnight, with lows reaching the mid
40's and dewpoints in the mid 20's.
-
Tomorrow will be similar with high temperatures in the upper 70's to
low 80's under dry and sunny skies.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: There is no potential for
precipitation across the District today.
A LOOK AHEAD: A high-pressure ridging pattern over the intermountain
west will create warm and subsident weather across the High Plains
through the end of next week. Monday and Tuesday will be dry, with
clear skies and temperatures in the upper 70's to low 80's. There will
be considerable warming across the District on Wednesday as high
temperatures are expected to climb to around 90 degrees ahead of a
cold front Wednesday night.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 6 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 926 AM Sun May 8, 2022
Forecaster: Tim Tonge
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
WARM TEMPERATURES WITH DRY AND SUNNY CONDITIONS
-
The next few days will be much cooler following yesterday's cold
frontal passage. Today will be dry, sunny, breezy, and warm with high
temperatures reaching the upper 70's to low 80's, dewpoints in the mid
20's, across the District.
-
Dry conditions will continue overnight, with lows reaching the upper
40's to low 50's and dewpoints in the upper 20's.
-
Tomorrow will be similar with high temperatures in the upper 70's to
low 80's under dry and sunny skies.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: There is no potential for
precipitation across the District today.
A LOOK AHEAD: A high-pressure ridging pattern over the intermountain
west will create warm and subsident weather across the High Plains
through the end of next week. Monday and Tuesday will be dry, with
clear skies and temperatures in the upper 70's to low 80's. There will
be considerable warming across the District on Wednesday as high
temperatures are expected to climb to around 90 degrees ahead of a
cold front Wednesday night.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 6 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 950 AM Sat May 7, 2022
Forecaster: Tim Tonge
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
HOT AND DRY TODAY WITH ISOLATED OVERNIGHT SHOWERS
-
Today will be hot and dry, with temperatures in the upper 80's to
low 90's, dewpoints in the mid 20's, across the District under mostly
sunny skies. The record high for May 7th is 87 degrees, set in 1989.
This record will likely be broken today.
-
A cool front will wash over the state tonight, providing a little
relief from the record-breaking heat. The frontal passage will be
followed by a slight chance for isolated evening to overnight showers
and thunderstorms mainly across the foothills. There is a chance a
stray shower or two rolls into the District.
-
Skies will clear by the early morning hours followed by high
temperatures around 80 by tomorrow afternoon. Dewpoints are expected
to fall into the low 20's, creating very dry conditions across the
District. No precipitation is expected tomorrow.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: There is a slight chance for an
overnight shower or two across the District, with minimal
accumulations expected between a trace and 0.20".
A LOOK AHEAD: A high-pressure ridging pattern over the intermountain
west will create warm and dry weather across the High Plains through
next week. On Sunday, temperatures will reach the upper 70's to low
80's under mostly clear skies. Monday and Tuesday will be similar,
with clear skies and high temperatures around 80.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
60-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
Â
Â
Â
Adams
500 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Arapahoe
500 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Boulder
500 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Broomfield
500 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Denver
500 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Douglas
500 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Jefferson
500 PM TO 1159 PM
Trace (25%) to 0.1" (15%)
NONE
Foothills above 6500ft
Â
Â
Â
Boulder
300 PM TO 300 AM SUN
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (25%)
NONE
Douglas
300 PM TO 300 AM SUN
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (25%)
NONE
Jefferson
300 PM TO 300 AM SUN
Trace (75%) to 0.1" (50%) to 0.2" (25%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 6 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 857 AM Fri May 6, 2022
Forecaster: Tim Tonge
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY
-
Today will be dry and warm with high temperatures reaching the low
80's, dew points in the upper 20's, under mostly sunny skies.
-
Very dry conditions across the plains today will prevent the
development of any precipitation over The District.
-
Overnight conditions will remain dry with temperatures cooling into
the low 50's, dew points increasing only slightly into the low 30's,
with mostly clear skies.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: There is no rainfall potential
across The District today or tonight.
A LOOK AHEAD: On Saturday, winds aloft will become southwesterly,
creating hot, breezy, and dry conditions across the plains. The record
high for May 7th is 87°F, set in 1989. Temperatures on Saturday may
break this record, as highs are expected to climb into the mid to
upper 80âs. A cool front will wash over the state Saturday night,
providing a little relief from the record-breaking heat. On Sunday,
temperatures will reach the upper 70âs to low 80âs, followed by a
slight chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms across the area.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 6 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 856 AM Thu May 5, 2022
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
WARMER AND DRY TODAY WITH BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS
-
After a couple of active weather days, today will be warmer and mild
as clouds gradually clear through the rest of the morning bringing
mostly sunny skies this afternoon.
-
High temperatures will reach the mid 60's to low 70's across the
District with winds picking up from the north this afternoon. These
winds will be between 5-15mph with gusts up to 30mph.
-
Winds will calm into evening with mild conditions expected through
the overnight and into Friday morning as low temperatures drop into
the mid 40's to low 50's.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: No precipitation is expected
today or this evening.
A LOOK AHEAD: High-pressure starts to build over Colorado tomorrow as
high temperatures jump back into the upper 70's to low 80's with mild
conditions throughout the day. Similar conditions to start the day
Saturday with a slight chance for scattered high-based rain
showers/isolated thunderstorms. Minimal precipitation expected as most
rainfall will struggle to reach the surface. Slightly cooler Sunday
with a continued slight chance for high-based afternoon rain
showers/isolated thunderstorms, however best chances will remain along
the foothills and Palmer Divide.
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 6 months
Flash Flood Prediction Program
by f2p2＠udfcd.org
Time: 855 AM Wed May 4, 2022
Forecaster: Justin Brooks
-------------------------
Heavy Precipitation Outlook
Flash Flood Prediction Program
-------------------------
COOL TODAY WITH OFF/ON RAIN SHOWERS AM, BETTER CHANCE FOR
RAIN/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PM WITH OVERNIGHT RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE
-
Another late night round of showers impacted the District last night
with a few scattered rain showers continuing this morning.
Temperatures today will remain cooler with highs expected to stay in
the 40's this afternoon. These cool temperatures will limit any
thunderstorm activity, however, with good upper-level support this
afternoon a few isolated thunderstorms cannot be completely ruled out.
-
Best chance for rain showers/isolated thunderstorms will be between
noon and 8pm today, with a continued chance for rain showers late this
evening, through the overnight with some lingering rain showers
possible through Thursday morning. Storm motion today will be from the
NNW to SSE between 5-10mph, with some training of rain showers
possible this afternoon and evening especially along the foothills.
-
Overnight lows will drop into the mid to upper 30's resulting in
some snow at higher elevations along the foothills and Palmer Divide
through the overnight and into Thursday. Scattered off and on rain
showers likely for lower elevations through the morning Thursday,
however any precipitation should be fairly light at this time.
STORM RAINFALL POTENTIAL AND DURATION: Typical rain showers/isolated
thunderstorms will produce a trace to 0.2" of rainfall in 10-30
minutes. Weak to moderate thunderstorms will have the potential to
produce rainfall rates of 0.2-0.4" in 10-30 minutes.
WORST CASE SCENARIO: A stronger thunderstorm is able to develop with
the potential for moderate to brief heavy rainfall of 0.4-0.8" in
30-60 minutes.
A LOOK AHEAD: Thursday will start of cool with a few scattered morning
rain showers before skies gradually clear throughout the day as high
temperatures jump back into the 60's. Even warmer Friday as
high-pressure returns for the weekend leading to dry conditions.
Similar Saturday with highs around 80°F along with a slight chance
for a few high-based rain showers/isolated thunderstorms during the
afternoon/evening however, no threat for heavy rain at this time.
LOCATION
PRIME TIME
30-Minute Rainfall
and % Probability Message
Potential
Plains
Â
Â
Â
Adams
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (20%)
NONE
Arapahoe
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (20%)
NONE
Boulder
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (30%)
NONE
Broomfield
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (20%)
NONE
Denver
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (20%)
NONE
Douglas
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (30%)
NONE
Jefferson
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (90%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (30%)
NONE
Foothills above 6500ft
Â
Â
Â
Boulder
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (30%)
NONE
Douglas
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (30%)
NONE
Jefferson
Current TO 900 AM WED
Trace (100%) to 0.2" (60%) to 0.4" (30%)
NONE
MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTS.
MHFD Flood Prediction Center: 303-458-0789 Â Â Â F2P2 Website
[http://udfcd.org/Flash+Flood+Prediction+Program]
2 years, 6 months